Summing Budget Lines Does Not Derive the Demand Curve
• John Vandivier
It's a common exercise in undergraduate economics to sum individual budget constraints to derive a market demand curve, but this is wrong.
- Budget constraints are immune to changes in individual preference, but demand is not.
- Budget constraints do not include economic cost, but quantities demanded do include preference and economic cost information (see point 5)
- Budget constraints respond to change in market price due to market change in demand, but those price changes most be viewed as exogenous when we know they aren't.
- Quantity demanded occurs at the tangent of an indifference curve and a budget constraint; real demand is a necessarily discontinuous collection of such points
- A demand curve should be thought of as a regression of such points which is necessarily fictitious but still very useful in estimation.
- Demand curves as regressions should also be \"fat\" with confidence at each estimated point.
- The idea of the representative consumer is preserved in this statistics-oriented approach.
- In this correct approach we can model good 1 vs good 2 or good 1 vs All Other Goods
- But these goods prices are accounting prices, not economic prices
- If we use price level for the price of AOG, issue 4.1 stands for AOG analysis
- The quantity demanded preserves the economic calculation because the utility curve becomes an All Other Information curve.
- In this framework, neoclassical economics models a change to the individual information state as a change to preference, not price
- Real demand (the discontinuous collection, not the curve) contains preference and economic opportunity cost and calculation
- The real demand curve (the best statistical estimate of real demand) is our best estimate of preference and opportunity cost and calculation
- But, our best estimate is an aggregated fiction; so tread lightly and more lightly when applying market findings at lower or higher levels of aggregation